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Jerry White
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Finance
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The Answers Are Different
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| Things have changed financially for Canadian snowbirds as at no time we have ever seen in the past. The Canadian dollar hit a record historical low against the $U.S., and interest rates on fixed-income investments are at 40-year lows. This has an impact on both income and our purchasing power.
Today, we need new answers to the old questions of how to hedge our dollar risk and how to realize a meaningful return, as fixed-income products such as savings bonds and GICs seem pointless options. Canada Savings Bonds yield 1.8% (after tax 1.2%) and inflation is running at approximately 2.5%, to produce a minus 1.3% return, and you pay tax each year on accrued interest you have not yet received. We need answers, now!
A risk-managed approach is to buy a mutual fund diversified income trust that contains 10-20 different royalty trusts. Its cash flow will always be positive. Sentry Select and Dynamic both offer them. Our approach for 2002 is to tread carefully. Interest rates will stay low with a slow-moving economy. The dollar has little upside above 63¢ U.S., unless there is a major corporate tax cut in Canada and a big turnaround in resources, wheat, oil and softwood lumber, which is not very likely. The only pluses are cheap gas, lower costs for heating and bargains for air travel, hotels and new cars. But at least we have some new answers to the old questions that keep coming up. |
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